Complexity and prediction
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July 11, 2014
Complexity, ‘fog and moonlight’, prediction, and politics I
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September 10, 2014
Complexity, ‘fog and moonlight’, prediction, and politics II: controlled skids and immune systems (UPDATED)
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September 11, 2014
Complexity, ‘fog and moonlight’, prediction, and politics III – von Neumann and economics as a science
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September 17, 2014
Complexity, ‘fog and moonlight’, prediction, and politics IV – The birth of computational thinking
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June 16, 2017
Complexity and Prediction Part V: The crisis of mathematical paradoxes, Gödel, Turing and the basis of computing
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March 6, 2019
Complexity and prediction VI: a model predicts the frequency and severity of interstate wars, ‘a profound mystery for which we have no explanation’
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2022-11-04
On Complexity, ‘fog and moonlight’, prediction, and politics VII: why social science is so bad at prediction & what is to be done